Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if that’s what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the particular 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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